Every assumption behind the energy-base proposal, as a control. The chart, the gate years and the debt path all recompute as you move them. Nothing here is a forecast: it is the arithmetic, with its inputs exposed so you can disagree with them precisely.
The model is generated from knowledge/content/arc-constants.cjs by
scripts/build-sandbox.cjs — this page carries no second copy of it. Defaults are the
paper's case: a 99.5-quad base, a two-cent ramp closing at 36 cents, a 28 percent dividend.
Debt-zero is reported as the first year that begins with no debt outstanding, the
same convention the canonical cascade model uses. The erosion controls are calibrated to a
full-transition reconstruction — retiring combustion generation removes about 15 quads from the
base while delivering identical electricity, which is a measurement convention rather than energy
saved; the vehicle and heat-pump terms are real efficiency. The capital pillar's corporate
component is a minimum tax on book income, so collections are the greater of it and the regular
corporate tax rather than the sum.